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Climate shocks and the timing of migration from Mexico

From Complex Time
Category
General Reference
author-supplied keywords
Adaptation
Climate
Migration
Response pattern
Rural Mexico
Timing
keywords
authors
Raphael J. Nawrotzki
Jack DeWaard
title
Climate shocks and the timing of migration from Mexico
type
journal
year
2016
source
Population and Environment
pages
72-100
volume
38
issue
1
publisher
Springer Netherlands
link
http://www.mendeley.com/research/climate-shocks-timing-migration-mexico(0)

Abstract

© 2016, Springer Science+Business Media New York.Although evidence is increasing that climate shocks influence human migration, it is unclear exactly when people migrate after a climate shock. A climate shock might be followed by an immediate migration response. Alternatively, migration, as an adaptive strategy of last resort, might be delayed and employed only after available in situ (in-place) adaptive strategies are exhausted. In this paper, we explore the temporally lagged association between a climate shock and future migration. Using multilevel event-history models, we analyze the risk of Mexico-US migration over a seven-year period after a climate shock. Consistent with a delayed response pattern, we find that the risk of migration is low immediately after a climate shock and increases as households pursue and cycle through in situ adaptive strategies available to them. However, about 3 years after the climate shock, the risk of migration decreases, suggesting that households are eventually successful in adapting in situ.

Counts

Citation count From Scopus. Refreshed every 5 days.
12
Page views
5

Identifiers

  • doi: 10.1007/s11111-016-0255-x (Google search)
  • issn: 15737810
  • sgr: 84960129495
  • scopus: 2-s2.0-84960129495
  • pui: 608872690

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