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Population momentum across the demographic transition

From Complex Time
Category
General Reference
author-supplied keywords
keywords
authors
Laura Blue
Thomas J. Espenshade
title
Population momentum across the demographic transition
type
journal
year
2011
source
Population and Development Review
pages
721-747
volume
37
issue
4
link
http://www.mendeley.com/research/population-momentum-across-demographic-transition(0)

Abstract

Population momentum is the main driver of global population growth today, and this makes an appreciation of momentum critical to understanding contemporary worldwide growth dynamics. This article traces population momentum along with two recently defined measures of momentum decomposed—stable and nonstable momentum—across the demographic transition. We use historical data and population projections from 16 countries to illustrate some previously ignored empirical regularities of the demographic transition in both the developed and the developing world. We also demonstrate the dynamic nature of stable and nonstable momentum, as changes in stable momentum lead to predictable changes in current and future nonstable momentum. These results suggest that momentum, which by definition is measured at a point in time, can also be considered as a process that unfolds over time.

Counts

Citation count From Scopus. Refreshed every 5 days.
18
Page views
4

Identifiers

  • doi: 10.1111/j.1728-4457.2011.00454.x (Google search)
  • issn: 00987921
  • sgr: 83455179309
  • scopus: 2-s2.0-83455179309
  • pui: 363096680

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